Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.585688 4.144651 4.764491 5.503259 6.360471 7.324617 8.492507
2024-10-13 2.911311 3.657802 4.558488 5.727144 7.206488 9.020946 11.421951
2024-10-20 2.376733 3.210588 4.293401 5.806817 7.874938 10.613190 14.532481
2024-10-27 1.875220 2.701035 3.845653 5.555098 8.056677 11.604410 17.055225
2024-11-03 1.648876 2.519023 3.799532 5.832560 9.002414 13.794216 21.659912
2024-11-10 1.486635 2.396957 3.812241 6.189454 10.119537 16.422614 27.426081
2024-11-17 1.316821 2.230180 3.723274 6.364126 10.971689 18.775713 33.198768
2024-11-24 1.150436 2.038246 3.558016 6.377049 11.546391 20.755763 38.702628
2024-12-01 0.978265 1.806186 3.284534 6.149281 11.648789 21.914394 42.926664
2024-12-08 0.832788 1.597528 3.017626 5.883816 11.626491 22.824226 46.825429
2024-12-15 0.755317 1.503492 2.946538 5.976419 12.304920 25.181399 54.053139
2024-12-22 0.665767 1.371411 2.781145 5.851825 12.518977 26.634268 59.647849
2024-12-29 0.632940 1.352998 2.847381 6.234884 13.906707 30.868087 72.411998
2025-01-05 0.585040 1.295441 2.824221 6.424158 14.912630 34.475211 84.564395
2025-01-12 0.531444 1.216829 2.743561 6.471629 15.607774 37.517441 96.059645
2025-01-19 0.460040 1.086394 2.526827 6.164464 15.403678 38.395287 102.319266
2025-01-26 0.436369 1.063926 2.555513 6.455993 16.737874 43.328222 120.388881
2025-02-02 0.419687 1.055634 2.616647 6.840438 18.387950 49.402902 143.037114
2025-02-09 0.393418 1.019050 2.602147 7.026259 19.546512 54.403896 163.814229
2025-02-16 0.361293 0.962156 2.526903 7.035554 20.220209 58.202410 181.925510
2025-02-23 0.321265 0.877885 2.366672 6.780454 20.088589 59.670002 193.161808
2025-03-02 0.284535 0.796850 2.202527 6.485018 19.781095 60.556094 202.745039
2025-03-09 0.266811 0.766480 2.174211 6.586136 20.708145 65.420736 226.879873